Wednesday, May 17, 2017

West Bengal municipal/civic polls: TMC going strong, setback for BJP. ‘The hills are smiling,’ says Mamata after TMC wrests Mirik from GJM


The victories in the civic bodies come nearly a year after the Trinamool Congress returned to power in the state winning 211 out of 294 seats.

As the Trinamool Congress won four of the seven municipalities in the civic polls in West Bengal, party chief Mamata Banerjee said the hills are smiling.

The Trinamool Congress created history by winning Mirik municipality in Darjeeling district. The TMC won six of the nine wards in Mirik, which has been a Gorkha Janmukti Morcha (GJM) stronghold.

With this win, the Trinamool Congress has become the first mainstream political party to win an election in the hills in the last three decades--regional parties have held sway in the hills for decades.

Even though the Congress and the CPM had struck up a seat-sharing arrangement for the civic polls, both parties have not been able to make a dent. In Domkal in Murshidabad district, the stronghold of state Congress chief Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury, the Congress-Left Front combine could win just 1 ward against Trinamool that swept the municipality. The elected member quickly switched to the ruling party after his win was confirmed.

The BJP, which has been trying to position itself as the main opposition to Trinamool, won 3 wards – 2 in Pujali and 1 in Raiganj.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which had
expected to give a stiff challenge to Mamata
Banerjee, failed to put a brake on the Trinamool
Congress's surge in West Bengal.

In West Bengal, the presence of BJP is mostly in Social Media and in TV. But in civic body election’17 result they won just 3 out of 148 wards.

The convincing victories in Pujali, Raiganj and Domkol, besides the win in Mirik, will give a major boost to Mamata Banerjee ahead of the General Elections in 2019.

The Trinamool Congress snatched Raiganj from the Congress by winning 24 of the 27 wards. The Congress managed to win just one ward, while the BJP got two.

As the Trinamool Congress took to Twitter to
 declare its "Trinamool all the way", party
 chief Mamata Banerjee tweeted,
 "Congratulations to Ma Mati Manush for
again and again putting their trust in us. We
 are honoured, privileged and humbled”

"Special thanks to Mirik for reposing faith in us. We will work sincerely for you. After so many decades, we begin a new era in the hills," said Mamata Banerjee.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which had expected to give a stiff challenge to Mamata Banerjee, failed to put a brake on the Trinamool Congress's surge in West Bengal.

The convincing victories in Pujali, Raiganj and Domkol, besides the win in Mirik, will give a major boost to Mamata Banerjee ahead of the General Elections in 2019.

The Trinamool Congress snatched Raiganj from the Congress by winning 24 of the 27 wards. The Congress managed to win just one ward, while the BJP got two.

The results of the municipal elections also point towards BJP's failure to establish themselves as an alternative to the ruling TMC. BJP has received a setback as it has managed to win just three seats - two of the total 16 in Pujali and one out of 27 in Raiganj.

BJP had campaigned aggressively for the
municipal elections which were held on May 14.
The party ruling at the Centre has launched a multi-pronged strategy to register an impressive performance in the 2019 lok Sabha elections. In a bid to strengthen the organization, BJP president Amit Shah had toured West Bengal to launch 'Vistar Yatra' in Naxalbari on April 25.

He visited a tribal's house and knocked door-to-door as part of an intensive booth-level mass contact program in the cradle of the 50-year-old Maoist movement. He also held a meeting of party workers in booth number 93 of the Naxalbari Assembly constituency.

Amit Shah also went to Mamata Banerjee's Bhawanipur constituency in Kolkata the next day and launched mission "Ebaar Bangla" (West Bengal this time).

BJP has been attacking Mamata Banerjee and
 TMC over the corruption cases and law and
order issues. It harped on scams like Narada,
 Sarada and Rose Valley. With senior TMC
leaders such as Sudip Banerjee and Tapas Pal
 behind the bars, BJP highlighted the corruption
 by the ruling party during Mamata Banerjee's
regime.

The party also strived hard to publicize the
developmental programs of the Modi
government.

However, these efforts of BJP seem to have made no mark in the municipal elections.

In reality the communal campaign made by BJP
 and the vindictive attitude they are showing by
 using central agencies plus the way their Bhakts
 (BJP-IT cell) trolling abusively and aggressively
 resulting a negative wave against them.

Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "My Favorite Posts" / "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please feel free to post.
Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.

Saturday, May 13, 2017

Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose and Secularism: In spite of being a religious Hindu Netaji never preferred Hindu/Muslim extremists, he was a true Hindu-Secular.

Historical documents establish that Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose opposed the Hindu Mahasabha as well as the Muslim League as communal and acted to prevent their growth and membership in the Congress. This is contradictory to the attempts of contemporary right wingers to appropriate his legacy.


Netaji was the champion of secularism without promoting the word secular.

Netaji's army comprised of people from all communities. He put all the minority communities at ease by allowing them larger autonomy.

For quite some time now, there have been attempts by Right Wing Hindu Organizations to portray people like Subhash Chandra Bose and Sardar Patel in different lights to destroy the image of Jawaharlal Nehru and the legacy of Indian Secularism.

The BJP-minded ones go so far as to even claim Bose as an icon of Hindutva, placing him alongside Shyama Prasad Mookerjee and Savarkar.  Although they have mastered the art of rewriting false history, there are some things that cannot be changed. One of them is the relationship Subhash Chandra Bose had with Hindu Mahasabha.

Subhash Bose, no doubt, had a thorough Hindu outlook in life and was a religious Hindu, as is evident in his unfinished autobiography. To the impact of Aurobindo on his early life also he openly admits. Towards his last days in Singapore and Burma it is said that he would often go to the temples wearing traditional Hindu attire and spend hours in meditation at night. It is also said that he used to carry a pocketbook edition of Bhagavad-Gita in the chest of his uniform during the day and while sleeping keep it under his pillow.

All of this seems true enough, and would widely separate Bose from the garden variety of Nehruvian Secularists and Marxists who are, by design, hostile to the Hindu dharma without many exceptions.

And still, when it came to understanding Islam and its objectives, as a thinker and as a leader, it must be said that Bose was not very different from the other Hindu-Secularists.

Means Netaji believes in Hindu Dharma but fully secular like Swami Vivekananda & his Guru Sri Ramakrishna Paramhansha Dev.

Irony is nowadays when Mamata Banerjee follows the same BJP & Sanghi people call her as Jihadi Begum.

Netaji’s beliefs in secularism were can be summed up as follows:

a) Without Muslim approval neither can Swaraj be won, and what more is, nor was it worth winning without their support;

b) The onus of Hindu-Muslim unity lied mostly on the shoulders of the Hindus,

c) Only by adjusting to the Muslim sensibilities and removing their ‘misgivings’ was it possible to achieve that unity; and therefore

d) Appeasing Muslims should be made a core and visible part of any program, which is what he conscientiously belabored to do throughout his political career. In his hostility to Hindutva also he was quite virulent just like the other Hindu-secularists.

In justification of the rationale of generally aligning with the pan-Islamists, and using Islamic sentiments in Congress policy, Subhash Bose later wrote, “…Moplah Rebellion in Malabar in South India intensified the crisis… Afghanistan had entered into a treaty with Mustafa Kamal Pasha and this was followed by a treaty between Persia and Soviet Russia. In Egypt the nationalist Wafd Party of Syed Zaghlul Pasha was strong and active. Thus it was apparent that the entire Moslem world was combining against Great Britain and this had an inevitable reaction on Muslims of India…Government would be eager to compromise with Congress.”

Netaji was not against the principle of taking up Khilafat agitation, even in hindsight he only went so far as to regret its operating format. He wrote, “The real mistake in my opinion did not lie in connecting the Khilafat issue with the other national issues, but in allowing the Khilafat Committee to be set up as an independent organization throughout the country, quite apart from the Indian National Congress…. If no separate Khilafat Committees had been organized and all Khilafatist Muslims had been persuaded to join the ranks of the Indian National Congress, they would probably have been absorbed by the latter when the Khilafat issue became a dead one.” And again at another place, “…the introduction of the Khilafat question into Indian politics was unfortunate. As has already been pointed out, if the Khilafatist Muslims had not started a separate organization but had joined the Indian National Congress, the consequences would not have been so undesirable.”

Deshbandhu Das around this time made with the moderate Muslim leaders like Hakim Ajmal Khan what is known as the Bengal Hindu-Muslim Pact of 1923, which besides other things, for the first time anywhere in India, committed to providing reservations in the government jobs on a communal basis. In Bengal as many as 55% to 60% public jobs were agreed to be reserved for the Moslem candidates alone. This Bengal Pact although rejected by the national body of Congress in Kakinada that year from being adopted as an India-wide program, still established a policy direction in Congress for the time to come. Subhas Bose, a part of this program as a lieutenant of Chittaranjan Das, records, “Deshabandhu had drawn up an agreement between Hindus and Moslems, covering religious as well as political questions, but it had been rejected by the Coconada Congress in December 1923, on the ground that it conceded too much to the Moslems… There was a stormy debate and the political opponents of the Deshabandhu, joined by some reactionary Hindus, put up a formidable opposition.”

Like Subhas Bose, Deshbandhu Das was a very religious Hindu in his personal life; his mansion in Calcutta always resounding with Kirtans of vaishnava mandali in which he used to actively participate. As a spiritual retreat, in the June of 1923, C R Das travelled to Pondicherry to briefly stay with Shri Aurobindo whom as his attorney he had eloquently and successfully defended in the Alipore Bombing case about fifteen years back. Aurobindo also tried to enlighten Deshbandhu Das about futility of his policy of making the so called Hindu Muslim unity as a prerequisite for the national movement. Das held on to his opinion and went on to say so much that unless the so called communal questions were settled, in his view he would not even like the British to leave! (So records a letter of Shri Aurobindo to Mother that month.)

But such ideology within Bengal Congress only got amplified with Subhas Bose and his elder brother Sarat Bose after the death of C R Das in 1925.
As the CEO of Calcutta Corporation, Subhas Bose outdid C R Das, who had only proposed 55% communal reservation that too in Moslem-majority districts which Calcutta was not. Subhas Bose appointed in Calcutta Corporation, 25 Mohammedans out of 33 vacant posts, not on the grounds of any merit, but for their creed. He said, “In (the) past Hindus have enjoyed what maybe regarded monopoly in matters of appointments. The claims of Mohammedans, Christians and Depressed Classes have to be favorably considered, though it is sure to give rise to a certain amount of heart-burning among the Hindu candidates.” So he left 8 seats for these Hindus of both “depressed class” and otherwise, and the Anglo-Indians.

·      Subhash Bose during imprisoned in Burma wrote, “…the distinction between Hindu and Muslim of which we hear so much nowadays is largely an artificial creation, a kind of Catholic-Protestant controversy in Ireland, in which our present-day rulers have had a hand. History will bear me out when I say that it is a misnomer to talk of Muslim rule when describing the political order in India prior to the advent of the British. Whether we talk of the Moghul Emperors at Delhi, or of the Muslim Kings of Bengal, we shall find that in either case the administration was run by Hindus and Muslims together, many of the prominent Cabinet Ministers and Generals being Hindus. Further, the consolidation of the Moghul Empire in India was effected with the help of Hindu commanders-in-chief.”

Throughout Bose’s writings and speeches, he referred to congress Hindus as the nationalist Hindus and the likes of Hindu Mahasabha as communal, and every time equated them with the Muslim league. In fact, it was during the presidency of Subhash Chandra Bose that the congress banned the dual membership of Congress and Mahasabha.

Bose wrote an editorial in his forward bloc weekly on May 4, 1940 under the title of ‘Congress and Communal Organizations’.

‘That was a long time ago’, he wrote, ‘when prominent leaders of the congress could be members of the communal organizations like Hindu Mahasabha and Muslim League. But in recent times, the circumstances have changed. These communal organizations have become more communal than before. As a reaction to this, the Indian National Congress has put into its constitution a clause to the effect that no member of a communal organization like Hindu Mahasabha and Muslim League can be a member of an elective committee of Congress.’

Thus, in Bose’s estimation, Hindu Mahasabha was ‘Communal’ and to be placed in same brackets as Muslim League. Indeed, he mentioned Hindu Mahasabha before Muslim League every time he referred to Communal Organizations.

When Syama Prasad Mookerjee joined Hindu Mahasabha, Dr Mookerjee wrote in his diary that Bose met him and told him if he went about building Hindu Mahasabha as a political body in Bengal, “He ( Subhash Chandra Bose) would see to it, BY FORCE IF NEED BE, THAT IT WAS BROKEN BEFORE IT WAS REALLY BORN.”

Later, Bose came true on his words that he was not adverse to using force and intimidation to put Mahasabha down. In the words of Balraj Madhok, a leader of Mahasabha at that time, ‘Subhash Chandra Bose with help of his supporters, decided to intimidate the Mahasabha by use of force. His men would break-up all Mahasabha meetings and beat up the candidates. Dr Mookerjee would not tolerate it. He got a meeting announced, to be addressed by him. As soon as he rose to speak, a stone hit him in his head, and he began to bleed profusely.’

When Subhash Chandra Bose was forming INA. ‘Hindu nationalists’, instead of helping him were hand in gloves with British. Hindu Mahasabha, under Savarkar’s leadership organized recruitment camps for British armed forces. As Savarkar said, ‘Whether we like it or not, we shall have to defend our own hearth and home against the ravages of war and this can only be done by intensifying the government’s war efforts to defend India. Hindu Mahasabhaites must, therefore, rouses Hindus ESPECIALLY IN THE PROVINCES OF BENGAL AND ASSAM as effectively as possible to enter the military forces of all arms without losing a single minute.

The above material suggests that Netaji Bose considered these so called Hindu Extremist Organizations as Communal, and this was only till 1945. If Bose was alive to see the later activities of these organizations, I wonder what Netaji would have said or done.

But Netaji would have certainly not associated with BJP if he was alive today.
 
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Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.

Thursday, May 11, 2017

একটি কাল্পনিক কথোপকথন – কোনো এক দেশের প্রধানমন্ত্রী নমো ও তার পছন্দের সাংবাদিক চৌধুরী এর মধ্যে। (লেখিকা – শ্রীমতী শ্রীপর্ণা রায়) An imaginary conversation between a country’s PM NAMO and his favorable journalist Chowdhury. Written by Mrs. Sreeparna Roy.


এয়ার ইন্ডিয়া ওয়ান.... তিন বছরে ছয়টি মহাদেশে ৫৬ বার বিদেশ সফরে গিয়ে ৪৫ টি দেশ ঘুরে নমো ৫৭ তম বিদেশ সফরে যাচ্ছেন... ৪৬ তম গন্তব্য দেশ হলো ক্যারিবিয়ান দ্বীপ পুঞ্জের ছোট্ট দেশ সেন্ট কিটস এন্ড নাবিস....

দ্বিপাক্ষিক সম্পর্কের উন্নতির জন্য তার এই বিদেশ সফর বলে নমোর অফিস থেকে জানানো হয়েছে... সঙ্গী বাছাই করা কিছু সাংবাদিক এবং জনা কয়েক উচ্চপদস্থ আমলা... প্লেনের মধ্যে বসেই নমো তার প্রিয় সাংবাদিক চৌধুরীকে এক্সক্লুসিভ সাক্ষাৎকার দিচ্ছেন..... 

 

চৌধুরী...: স্যার, তিন বছর... অনেকটা সময়... অনেক "মন কী বাত".... অনেক সাফল্য.... আপনার চোখে আপনার সরকারের সবচেয়ে ইউনিক,ব্যাতিক্রমী সাফল্য কোন্‌টি...??

নমো...: আমার সব সাফল্যই ইউনিক, ব্যাতিক্রমী এটা তুমি জানো... তবে সবচেয়ে ইউনিক আর ব্যাতিক্রমী সাফল্য হলো কাশ্মীরে নিহত জঙ্গির শেষকৃত্যে লাইন করে দাড়িয়ে প্রকাশ্যে জঙ্গিদের বন্দুক থেকে গুলি ছুড়ে মিলিটারি কায়দায় গান স্যালুট দেওয়া.... চ্যালেঞ্জ নিয়ে বলতে পারি এমন ইউনিক সাফল্য এর আগে কোনো প্রধানমন্ত্রী পান নিই, আর আগামীতেও পাবেন কীনা সন্দেহ। 

 

চৌধুরী...: হেঁ হেঁ ... তা ঠিক, তা ঠিক.. তবে গরুর আধার কার্ড বানানোর যে প্রকল্পটা হাতে নিয়েছেন তার আইডিয়াটাও কিন্তু ইউনিক....

নমো...: আরে সুপ্রিম কোর্ট নিয়ম করে নাগরিকদের আধার কার্ডের আব্যশকতা কে বারবার চ্যালেঞ্জ করছিলো... তার ফলে টার্গেট পুরো করা যাচ্ছিলো  না কিছুতেই... তাই নিতান্ত বাধ্য হয়েই সুপ্রিম কোর্টে গরুদের আধার কার্ড তৈরী করার কথা জানানো হয়...
আমি টার্গেটে বিশ্বাস করি... যেমনভাবেই হোক টার্গেট পুরো করতেই হবে... তাতে মানুষের পরিবর্ত হিসেবে গরু হলেও আপত্তি নেই...

 

চৌধুরী...: বা:... দারুন স্যার... আপনার জবাব নেই... তা স্যার দেশের আর্থিক উন্নতিতে আপ্নার সেরা সাফল্য কী..?? 

নমো...: দেখো চৌধুরী, আমি ছোটোবেলা থেকে ব্যাবসাটা ভালো বুঝি, তাই দেশের অর্থনীতি নিয়ে আমার নির্দিষ্ট ভাবনায় আমি এগোচ্ছি...
 
ইতিমধ্যে গরুর মাংস রপ্তানিতে আমরা সারা বিশ্বের মধ্যে প্রথম... দেশের মানুষ যাতে গরুর মাংস খেয়ে দেশের সম্পদ নষ্ট না করে তার জন্য ব্যাকডোর ব্যাবস্থায় গো রক্ষা বাহিনী তৈরী করলাম ...
তারা গৃহস্থের ফ্রিজে পর্যন্ত হানা দিচ্ছে.... বেচাল দেখলে একেবারে গনপিটুনিতে ভবলীলা সাঙ্গ করে দিচ্ছে.... আতঙ্কে দেশে গরুর মাংস বিক্রিতে ভাটা ... সাথে সাথে রপ্তানিতে ট্যাক্স কমিয়ে দিলাম ... হু হু করে বিদেশি মুদ্রা দেশে আসা শুরু হয়ে গেলো গো মাংস থেকে ....
বলো এমন ভাবনা আমার আগে কেউ ভেবেছিলো...?? 

 

চৌধুরী...: ওরে বাবা... কী অসামান্য ভাবনা আপনার... সত্যি আপনি মহাগুরু... তা স্যার দেশের আইনশৃঙ্খলা রক্ষায় আপনার সাফল্যটা একটু বলবেন...??

নমো...: দেখুন দেশের আইনশৃঙ্খলা নিয়ে উদ্বিগ্ন হওয়ার কোনো কারন নেই.... মাওবাদীরা সক্রিয়...গণহারে তারা দেশের জওয়ানদের খুন করছেন, মনিপুর অশান্ত, সেখানে জঙ্গিদের হাতে সেনা শহীদ হচ্ছেন, কাশ্মীরের সীমান্তে পাক সৈন্যরা দেশের জওয়ানদের মাথা কেটে নিয়ে যাচ্ছে, কাশ্মীরের অভ্যন্তরে জঙ্গিদের হাতে সি আর পি এফ , পুলিশ নিহত হচ্ছেন, রাজ্যে রাজ্যে সাম্প্রদায়িক দাঙ্গা হচ্ছে,কোথাও ঠাকুর দলিত আবার কোথাও যাদব দলিত জাতি দাঙ্গা হচ্ছে...  
 
এর ফলে  বিক্ষিপ্তভাবে এইসব জায়গায়  একটা অস্থিরতার সৃষ্টি হচ্ছে... সাময়িক কিছু ক্ষতি হচ্ছে...
 
কিন্তু একটু ভাবুন তো এসব হচ্ছে বলেই তো সারা দেশের সাধারণ মানুষ টু শব্দটি না করে দুশো টাকা দিয়ে ডাল কিনছে,দ্বীগুন দাম দিয়ে ট্রেনের টিকিট কাটছে, ১৫% সার্ভিস ট্যাক্স দিচ্ছে,৪৫০ টাকার গ্যাস ৭৫০ টাকায় কিনছে, ১৫ লক্ষ টাকার কথা ভুলে গেছে,এম আই এস কম নিচ্ছে, সঞ্চয়ে সুদ কম নিচ্ছে...
 
সাধারন মানুষের কোনো প্রতিবাদ নেই,বিক্ষোভ নেই ,আন্দোলন নেই.... তারা সবাই  শুধু হিন্দু-মুসলিম-পাকিস্তান-জেহাদী-মাওবাদী-দলিত দের নিয়ে ভেবে যাচ্ছে... আর ওদিকে মনের সুখে দেশের রত্নরা ব্যাবসা করছে... দেশে ও বিদেশে... এমনকি পাকিস্তানেও... দেশের সম্পদ বাড়ছে... বৈদেশিক মুদ্রা আসছে....
 
আমি ছোটবেলা থেকে ব্যাবসায়ী, সবকিছুই ব্যাবসার নজরে দেখি ভাই... তাই আজ আমার এত সাফল্য... 

 

চৌধুরী...: স্যার এত গভীরে ভেবে দেখি নিই... ধন্য আপনার ভাবনা... তা স্যার দেশের পরিকাঠামোর উন্নয়নে আপনার সাফল্য...

নমো..: এখানে দুটো ইউনিক সাফল্যর কথা আমি বলবো... এক, গরুর জন্য এম্বুলেন্স যা উত্তর প্রদেশে প্রথম চালু করা হয়েছে আর দ্বিতীয় হলো বিনা খরচে সাইকেলে বেধে     মৃতদেহ নিয়ে যাওয়া যা আসামে চালু করা হয়েছে... দুটোই আমার দলের শাসনে থাকা রাজ্য... তাই একটু সুবিধা হয়েছে... এরকম আরো ইউনিক ভাবনা চিন্তা সবসময় আমার মাথায় ঘোরে... 

 

চৌধুরী...: স্যার আপনার সময়কালে একটি এমন বিশেষ ঘটনা বলুন যা সারা বিশ্বের কাছে আপনার ভাবমূর্তি উজ্জ্বল করেছে.... 

নমো..: একটু ভেবে... অনেক আছে... তবে সম্প্রতি দিল্লির রাজপথে তামিলনাড়ুর   কৃষকদের উলঙ্গ হয়ে নিজেদের মুত্রপান সারা বিশ্বের কাছে একটি বিশেষ বার্তা বহন করেছে....
 
এই মূত্রপান নাকি অনেক কঠিন রোগের অব্যার্থ  ওষুধ... এমন একটা বিশ্বাস সারা বিশ্বে ছড়িয়ে দেওয়ার চেষ্টা হচ্ছে....
পতঞ্জলি এই বিষয়টা দেখছে... আফটার অল  এটাও একটা ভালো ব্যাবসা হতে পারে... 

 

চৌধুরী...: উফফ... স্যার কী বলে যে আপনাকে ধন্যবাদ জানাবো.... স্যার আমি আপ্লুত...আমি ধন্য... স্যার আমার শেষ প্রশ্ন.... এত দেশ বাকী থাকতে শেষপর্যন্ত এই সেন্ট কিটস এ কেনো...?? স্যার এখানে শুনেছি এক গুজরাতি ব্যাবসায়ী দেশের ৭০০০ হাজার কোটি টাকা মেরে বহাল তবিয়তে বসবাস করছেন.... তা আপনি কী.... 

নমো...: আর একটি কথাও নয়.... (থামিয়ে দিয়ে)...(বেশ রেগে গেছেন বোধ হয়, এক হাতে বুম সরিয়ে আর এক হাতে কান থেকে ইয়ার ফোন খুলে দিলেন)..নমস্কার ।
Dissimilar: This is fully an imaginary conversation, not related to any person(s).. If you found any similarity that's just a coincident only. 

Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "My Favorite Posts" / "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please feel free to post.
Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.

Thursday, May 4, 2017

Current political scenario in West Bengal >> Latest Opinion poll survey done in April’2017 for 2019 Parliamentary Election is showing TMC (Trinamool Congress) is still holding their strong hold in Bengal. BJP may come as a distance second if there is no alliance between Congress & Lefts.


Trinamool Congress (TMC) is all set to increase their tally & likely to win 35seats out of 42 in Bengal if parliamentary election held now. As Didi (Mamata Banerjee) magic in West Bengal is still on and people of West Bengal is all set to bring back TMC as victorious.

As per the largest opinion poll survey for West Bengal in 2017 which was carried out in all 42 parliamentary seats, it shows Didi (Mamata Banerjee) is still Dada (Boss) in Bengal.

As per detail survey carried out by “Maa Mati Manush” (Ma Mati Manush) blog in all assembly constituencies in West Bengal it had found that alleged media & sanghi sponsored BJP will face a big defeat in the hand of Trinamool Congress (TMC).
It is also showing that Left (mainly CPM) & Congress will lose major vote share and they will be almost negligible force in West Bengal as they likely get only 2 seats.

Our team carried out surveys in between  18th April’17 to 3rd  May’17 and visited all42 parliamentary  constituencies in Bengal. We have collected opinion of around 1000 to 1500 peoples from each constituency, all total we have got the opinion from more than 50000 voters. The people who gave their opinion are spread upon all sections of the society.


I believe this 50,000 sample size by Maa-Mati-Manush Blog is the largest sample size ever taken for an opinion poll survey for a state in India.

Remember this opinion poll survey was done after Ram Navami means after tremendous Anti-Trinamool communal campaign by Sanghis & BJP, meanwhile their party President Sri Amit Shah visited Bengal and does False-Propaganda against Mamata Banerjee and Trinamool Congress.

(Plz refer to my this post for details: Hypes Vs Facts, False-Propaganda Vs Reality war continue between BJP & TMC. BJP is giving wild allegation with lots of manufactured lies which TMC countered with facts & figure.


 Please note that West Bengal is a bastion that the BJP has not been able to break on its own. The party won two of the state’s 42 parliamentary seats in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, getting 17% of the vote share. In comparison, the TMC bagged 34 seats with an almost 40% vote share

In the assembly election last year, in which Banerjee was returned to power, the BJP won three seats and its vote share increased to about 10% from 4% in 2011.

The CPM’s vote share dipped to about 20% last year from 30% five years earlier.

TMC leaders are confident of stemming the saffron tide before it sweeps Bengal.


Let us first look at the Vote share % among all parties in last few elections and in our opinion poll

Party
2011
Assembly Poll
2014
Loksabha Poll
2016
Assembly Poll
2017 Opinion Poll Survey
Trinamool Congress (TMC)
38.92%
39.05%
(34seats)
44.9%
49.8%
(35Seats)
Lefts (CPIM++)
38.39%
29.71%
(2seats)
25.9%
17.7%
(1Seat)
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)
04.14%
16.8%
(2Seats)
10.7%
24.9%
(5Seats)
Congress (INC)
15.03%
9.58%
(4Seats)
12.3%
7.6%
(1Seat)


Now as per our opinion poll survey most likely result will be as follows:



Party

2014 LS Election

Seats (Vote share)

2019 LS poll survey on 2017 Seats (Vote share)


TMC

34seats(39.05%vote)

35seats(49.8%vote)

BJP

2seats (16.8%vote)

5seats (24.9%vote)

Left

2seats (29.71%vote)

1seats (17.7%vote)

Congress

4seats (9.58%vote)

1seats (7.6%vote)


 This survey result once again proved that people of Bengal rejected all sorts of yellow journalism & paid stories by section of Bengal & National media.

It is also proving that Bengal is disapproving so called communal forces that spread lots of rumours to disturb Bengal’s communal harmony.

People of Bengal are also rejecting watermelon leaders of Bengal-Congress + Lefts completely.

Note: This survey tells about present scenario only as still 2yrs time is there before 2019 poll so any major issue/campaign can swing votes.

Vote% & Seats always doesn’t go parallel as some party (Like Cong) may have concentrated vote in some pocket & some party (Like TMC) may have votes in all areas.



Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "My Favorite Posts" / "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please feel free to post.
Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.