Thursday, October 31, 2013

2014 Indian Parliamentary Elections (15th Loksabha) Predictions Based on Survey & Opinion Polls- Results shows NDA (primarily BJP) is far ahead of UPA (primarily Congress) but 45 seats short of majority marks.. It also shows Trinamool Congress (AITMC) is emerging as third largest party after BJP & Congress.



The BJP looks set to emerge as the single largest party in 2014 with 202 seats, far ahead of the Congress tally of 107. But even with its allies, the BJP lead NDA looks likely to be 45 seats short of a majority, leaving several regional players holding the key to power in central. Thus it seems to a hung parliament in 15th Loksabha in 2014.
 
 Survey also shows Trinamool Congress (AITMC) is emerging as third largest party after BJP & Congress with 31 seats followed by BSP with 26, SP with 23, AIADMK with 20 seats & Lefts with just 14 seats in their tally.

The NDA is projected to get 227 and the UPA just 136, which leaves 180 seats with others. Some of the biggest among them are mutually incompatible like the Trinamool and the Left Front or BSP and SP. That could make government formation an extremely complicated exercise come May next year.  Although it seems after 2014 LS poll Lefts will lose its importance in national politics except in few left minded media.


These are the major findings of the first nation wise survey & opinion polls by Ma Mati Manush Blog carried out throughout the nation in October’13. This projection suggests that the majority mark of 272 in the 543-member Lok Sabha will not be achieved by any pre-election formation.

Name of the parties -   2009seats won  -  2014 projected seats


1
206
 107
2
116
202
3
22
23
4
21
26
5
19
31
6
19
10
7
18
11
8
16
8
9
14
12
10
11
9
11
9
20
12
9
 6
13
9
6
14
6
9
15
5
3
16
4
3
17
4
5
18
3
 3
19
3
 8
20
2
2
21
2
2
22
2
 3
23
2
1
24
2
 1
25
2
10
26
2
11
27
1
1
28
1
1
29
1
1
30
1
0
31
1
1
32
1
1
33
1
 1
34
1
0
35
1
1
36
1
1
37
1
0
38
1
1
  39    Am Admi Party (AAP)                                                                   0        2




2014 Projected results:

NDA Total:  227, 
UPA Total:  136,
AITMC:         31,
BSP:             26, 
SP:                23,
AIADMK:      20, 
LEFTS:         14, 
BJD:             12,
YSR-C:         11, 
JDU:             10, 
Independent: 6,
Others:         27.


Earlier the opinion poll survey of West Bengal is showing AITMC (Trinamool Congress) is all set to win more than 30 Loksabha seats.. First time any survey is giving each constituency wise projection for West Bengal.

Details Survey Link:



2014 Loksabha Seats Projection By
MA-MATI-MANUSH Blog.

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Thanks & Vande Mataram!! 
Saroop Chattopadhyay.